關心時事

        「成立香港的主權基金?」

        近日城中又在討論成立香港的淡馬錫 (新加報主權基金),官員們又吹又唱,可能是在準備輿論,新特首的政綱中也有這一內容,想要提升外匯基金及政府儲備的回報率。

        我以前寫過這個題目,反對這種做法。

        香港的外匯基金現在有25000億港元,政府儲備有6000億,加在一起是31000億港元。

        香港累積了這麼巨大的財富,是有一定的歷史原因的,但政府的功能是服務百姓,不是歛財,不是賺錢,因此首先要弄清楚一點:香港是否需要如此巨大的儲備來捍衛港元的穩定性?答案絕對是否定的!其次要弄清楚:我們是否應累積更多儲備?答案也是否定的。錢是全體香港人民的,是香港納稅人的,所以政府應考慮的不是如何去賺更多的錢,應該考慮如何用這筆錢令人民受益?還富於民!

        說得簡單一些,外匯基金及政府儲備的收益,應全部撥給政府,編入政府預算中,有這一筆額外收益,用來減稅,減差餉,特別是個人所得稅應該大減。

        訂下一個合理儲備的上限,例如10000億港元 (許多專家有類似的看法),政府財政如有赤字,用儲備來彌補,直至儲備降至該水平 (例如10000億)。世界上有巨大儲備的主權基金,大約是挪威,科威特,沙特阿拉伯及新加坡。前面幾個國家都是人口少,本地經濟體系小。而石油收益巨大的國家,福利已好到不能再好,而本地也沒有什麼投資項目。挪威是管理得比較好,也比較清廉的國家,其它國家都是皇族和國家不分,像前利比亞總統據說就貪污了800億美元,用的是主權基金的名義入了他的私人口袋,即使像某一個富有的城市國家,主權基金也由當政幾十年的家族的自己人管理,錢財的出入,外人哪裡能知道?

        最後,這種幾千億美元的基金,最終還是大部份揸美國,德國國債,如果允許這一類基金投資企業,投資房地產,中間的風險和弊端更是難以避免。

        所以特區政府應還富於民!不要再去動賺錢的腦筋,其中的「利」我們看不到,「弊」卻可以非常之大。

4 responses to “關心時事

  1. The current system in HK link HKD with USD in very well manner, it has cost that we all know how much, it also offer stability which is very important as a global city. If adopting Temasek-like sovereign fund, I guess it might come with converting HKD to make reference to a basket of currencies, as Singapore is doing. Interestingly, as HK is already an open platform with free capital account transfer, and despite not confirmed, China setup its currency backing and reserve management in the way similar to Singapore, such proposal make me feel like to link HKD to RMB, then HK would become a platform or test-bed to help China to push RMB further from today’s use in global trade of goods into future’s use in financial activities… this proposal is a distinct and rare item in financial section of Mr. Leung’s plan back in election, and was advocated by his election office chairman. I share Mr. Zhang view the current exchange fund should be best used to serve the society. It’s people’s wealth and my view is any proposal to change should be with good reason.

  2. 十分認同老師所言。
    再加上我們的議員,只懂『抽水』和反對,香港主權基金有小許損失,也只會成為他們攪分化,攪上街的借口吧!

  3. 老師:

    據成報5月17日,“公務員事務局局長俞宗怡指,現時逾15.8萬名公務員當中,有逾12.6萬人,是根據長俸條款聘用。她稱,截至上個財政年度,領取長俸的退休公務員總數逾10萬3720人,預計每月平均退休金經常開支為18億4600萬元。”
    假設12.6萬人都在2030年後退休而現時領取人數不變,則會有23萬人領取長俸,每年可能要500億元開支,真不知錢從何來?
    像香港這樣負擔重的政府,世上少有。今日政府不還富於民,與這點不無關係。

    杰克

  4. Just to note that the figures quoted on Exchange Fund and Fiscal reserves. The $2500 billion Exchange Fund asset and Fiscal reserve of $600 billion should not be added together. The Fiscal Reserve is Liability to the Exchange Fund. i.e. treat the Exchange Fund as a bank and it takes deposit from the Government Treasury. The Exchange Fund has other liabilities, mainly Exchange Fund Notes &Bills and Bank notes and coins. The net worth of Exchange Fund is only $577 billion. Its not as big as it appears. Refer to the HKMA Annual Report.

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